In a rapidly shifting global landscape, European equities are regaining investor attention—this time not just as a contrarian bet, but as a fundamentally sound opportunity. According to Daniel Dornel, Head of ETF Research at BNP Paribas Asset Management, the recent divergence between market valuations and underlying fundamentals in Europe presents a compelling case for re-engagement.
Despite the headwinds triggered by fresh US tariffs, Europe’s medium to long-term outlook is improving. Strategic stimulus measures, easing inflation, and supportive monetary policy are aligning to create a more favourable investment environment—particularly for those seeking efficient, diversified exposure through ETFs.
At the beginning of the year, investor focus remained firmly on US markets, with the ‘Magnificent 7’ tech stocks dominating headlines. Europe, by contrast, was overlooked. Today, however, with US exceptionalism showing signs of fatigue and European valuations reaching attractive levels, the tide may be turning.
Key catalysts are emerging: EU and German stimulus plans, contained core inflation, and expectations of further rate cuts by the European Central Bank. These factors could support both consumer confidence and corporate investment—especially in capital-intensive sectors such as industrials. Lower financing costs, combined with a still-high household savings rate, may fuel economic growth if spending accelerates.
The industrial outlook is also improving. After a long downturn, sentiment is turning more positive, helped by potential energy price relief and stronger export capacity. A de-escalation of the Ukraine conflict would further ease pressures and reduce risk premiums on European assets.
Smaller companies, particularly reliant on bank credit, stand to benefit from easing monetary policy. As credit conditions loosen, opportunities for earnings growth and M&A activity increase—making small and mid-caps worth a second look.
For investors seeking efficient exposure, European equity ETFs offer a flexible and cost-effective way to tap into the region’s renewed potential. As the gap between fundamentals and valuations widens, Europe may be a smart addition to globally diversified portfolios.
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